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Red57
453934.0
37409.6
484519.6
Blue124
384012.3
400921.7
327622.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4035020608010012014057124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.4
19.420.8
Auto1.1
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 11.9
22.17.3
17.324.5
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
4845
#22
19.61.4
12.814.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
21.77.3
9.817.0
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
3740
#46
9.61.4
8.69.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3840
#30
12.37.3
9.616.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0