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Red12
423917.0
500311.3
327622.1
Blue12
426010.7
38465.7
501910.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482301001501212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.8
24.521.7
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 11.4
4260
#41
10.71.3
9.17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Second
4239
#21
17.02.8
10.57.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
5019
#42
10.61.3
14.413.1
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
5003
#37
11.32.8
10.67.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
3846
#59
5.71.3
4.33.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0