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Red0
554112.7
37883.5
375114.7
Blue38
288334.0
466412.9
318410.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23320406080100120038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3751
#31
14.71.6
12.210.6
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 19.3
34.00.5
19.620.1
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
5541
#35
12.71.6
7.25.6
Auto0.5
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4664
#38
12.90.5
7.37.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
3788
#60
3.51.6
5.94.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 7.2
3184
#44
10.70.5
5.05.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0