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Red78
181629.4
56908.0
400921.7
Blue58
439718.5
469316.6
565815.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462001001502007858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.9
24.127.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 10.9
4397
#10
18.53.3
15.018.2
Auto0.7
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
21.72.9
17.019.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 5.1
4693
#20
16.63.3
2.96.1
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
5690
#51
8.02.9
2.45.2
Auto1.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
5658
#28
15.53.3
6.910.2
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0