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Red29
249913.9
205235.6
38289.4
Blue30
181629.4
30366.8
37883.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434002060801001201402930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.3
25.123.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
29.41.0
27.026.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
2499
#32
13.91.3
10.59.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 7.1
3036
#53
6.81.0
10.49.4
Auto0.4
Teleop6.4
End0.0
Third
3828
#34
9.41.3
8.87.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 5.9
3788
#60
3.51.0
4.33.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.5
End0.0