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Red6
25389.6
329014.7
4217-1.4
Blue24
375114.7
49867.4
17164.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270406080100624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3290
#29
14.71.4
13.912.5
Auto0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
3751
#31
14.70.3
10.610.4
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
2538
#54
9.61.4
10.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
4986
#55
7.40.3
8.07.7
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
Third
4217
#63
-1.41.4
-0.9-2.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop-1.3
End0.0
blue by 6.1
1716
#58
4.70.3
8.58.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0