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Red60
565815.5
55428.1
312214.6
Blue60
47625.8
252632.4
220222.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244904060801001201401606060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5658
#28
15.52.6
10.212.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 16.9
32.41.1
24.225.3
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
3122
#26
14.62.6
12.915.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 7.4
2202
#19
22.01.1
17.518.6
Auto0.5
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5542
#50
8.12.6
6.28.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 2.3
4762
#61
5.81.1
5.66.7
Auto0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.0