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Red41
171418.1
310220.6
56908.0
Blue50
384012.3
401118.7
250318.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334901001504150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
20.60.3
14.715.0
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 1.9
4011
#18
18.70.2
14.014.2
Auto1.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
1714
#47
18.10.3
16.917.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2503
#11
18.60.2
19.619.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
5690
#51
8.00.3
5.25.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3840
#30
12.30.2
14.314.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0