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Red2
51436.6
565319.3
405410.3
Blue14
426010.7
29778.0
327622.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29430206080100120140160214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#13
19.32.0
12.610.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
22.12.3
21.719.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
4054
#39
10.32.0
15.013.0
Auto0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4260
#41
10.72.3
9.47.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
5143
#52
6.62.0
4.52.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2977
#48
8.02.3
11.08.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0