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Red64
469316.6
466412.9
525320.2
Blue79
472820.3
423917.0
481811.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242704060801001206479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.23.2
11.314.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
20.34.3
13.617.9
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
4693
#20
16.63.2
6.19.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4239
#21
17.04.3
10.614.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
4664
#38
12.93.2
7.811.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.9
4818
#62
11.04.3
3.07.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0