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Red42
400921.7
42448.5
565815.5
Blue42
30429.8
423917.0
52999.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060801001201401604242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
21.921.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
4239
#21
17.00.6
14.915.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
5658
#28
15.50.0
12.712.8
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
3042
#56
9.80.6
11.011.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
4244
#45
8.50.0
6.86.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5299
#57
9.60.6
7.88.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0