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Red68
220222.0
253120.1
327622.1
Blue102
472820.3
327720.6
310220.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56450208010012014016068102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.9
19.420.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 1.5
3277
#17
20.64.2
15.719.8
Auto1.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
2202
#19
22.00.9
18.619.5
Auto0.5
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
3102
#14
20.64.2
15.019.2
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
2531
#12
20.10.9
18.119.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
20.34.2
17.922.0
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0