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Red114
525320.2
401118.7
288334.0
Blue79
181629.4
51436.6
484519.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5038020608010012014011479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.05.0
21.226.2
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
29.42.9
26.028.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
20.25.0
14.519.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
4845
#22
19.62.9
12.915.8
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4011
#18
18.75.0
14.219.2
Auto1.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 12.1
5143
#52
6.62.9
2.55.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0