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Red42
51436.6
38289.4
466412.9
Blue62
375519.0
250318.6
400921.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18650501001504262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4664
#38
12.91.2
11.812.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
21.70.2
21.922.1
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3828
#34
9.41.2
8.79.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3755
#23
19.00.2
18.318.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
5143
#52
6.61.2
5.46.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 12.0
2503
#11
18.60.2
19.319.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0