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Red58
25389.6
310220.6
418114.6
Blue82
249913.9
9328.8
565815.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384401001505882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
20.61.7
19.220.9
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
93
#15
28.82.7
20.523.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
4181
#33
14.61.7
12.814.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5658
#28
15.52.7
12.815.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2538
#54
9.61.7
7.89.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 4.3
2499
#32
13.92.7
11.213.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0