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Red116
282686.6
220720.9
46077.4
Blue6
533920.6
249116.2
212915.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84270501001502001166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.62.9
54.557.4
Auto16.3
Teleop70.3
End0.0
red by 66.0
5339
#19
20.62.1
11.08.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
20.93.7
9.312.9
Auto0.8
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
2491
#40
16.21.7
12.911.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
4607
#48
7.43.7
14.217.9
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 8.1
2129
#29
15.52.1
12.910.8
Auto0.7
Teleop14.8
End0.0