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Red6
369011.2
46268.6
309023.9
Blue24
361020.4
298911.6
217530.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23440100150200624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3090
#12
23.91.8
10.58.8
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
30.11.2
22.821.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
3690
#44
11.21.8
8.16.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 9.2
3610
#21
20.41.5
9.78.2
Auto0.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
4626
#54
8.61.8
8.46.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2989
#52
11.61.5
9.68.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0