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Red60
223926.7
529711.7
329318.9
Blue8
265417.9
313411.2
46077.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30390100150200250300608

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#10
26.72.3
10.112.4
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 8.8
2654
#25
17.92.1
10.07.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
3293
#22
18.92.3
15.317.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 7.7
3134
#37
11.22.1
10.88.7
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
5297
#39
11.72.3
6.89.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
4607
#48
7.42.1
17.915.8
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End0.0