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Red4
320617.0
46268.6
464813.2
Blue86
527515.2
56377.9
282686.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1787050100150200250486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#35
17.01.2
15.414.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 69.6
86.60.4
57.457.9
Auto16.3
Teleop70.3
End0.0
Second
4648
#45
13.21.6
6.95.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5275
#30
15.20.6
14.114.6
Auto1.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4626
#54
8.61.6
6.75.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
5637
#41
7.90.6
7.88.4
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End0.0