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Red22
369011.2
223926.7
260623.0
Blue25
529711.7
427710.5
327513.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222060801001201402225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#10
26.71.6
17.716.1
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 13.0
3275
#43
13.70.1
8.38.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
2606
#11
23.01.6
13.411.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 11.2
5297
#39
11.70.1
9.19.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3690
#44
11.21.6
9.68.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
4277
#47
10.50.1
8.58.4
Auto0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0