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Red7
30237.5
298911.6
56377.9
Blue38
423912.9
38718.8
304219.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194606080100120140738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2989
#52
11.61.4
5.94.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 8.1
3042
#15
19.70.3
12.912.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5637
#41
7.91.4
10.28.8
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4239
#59
12.90.3
19.118.8
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3023
#58
7.51.4
7.46.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3871
#38
8.80.5
11.811.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0