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Red55
552212.5
388334.5
544916.6
Blue41
301820.1
327513.7
466510.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040801001201401605541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.1
31.231.2
Auto0.0
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 14.4
3018
#27
20.10.9
17.418.3
Auto1.5
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
5449
#34
16.60.2
10.510.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
3275
#43
13.70.9
8.29.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
5522
#26
12.50.2
15.014.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
4665
#53
10.00.9
10.711.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0