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Red18
305529.8
21777.8
37658.0
Blue95
533920.6
96739.0
265417.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446601001502001895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3055
#16
29.81.3
28.527.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 9.2
967
#4
39.01.5
33.835.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
3765
#56
8.02.1
12.810.7
Auto1.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 12.6
5339
#19
20.62.5
15.618.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
2177
#57
7.81.3
8.26.9
Auto0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 10.1
2654
#25
17.92.5
16.018.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0