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Red42
266725.0
369011.2
249116.2
Blue11
56377.9
313411.2
46638.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060801004211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.9
18.419.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 13.8
3134
#37
11.21.5
10.18.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Second
2491
#40
16.20.5
11.011.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 7.8
4663
#55
8.41.5
11.49.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0
Third
3690
#44
11.20.9
8.19.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 3.3
5637
#41
7.91.5
7.86.3
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End0.0