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Red128
249116.2
253121.3
313063.2
Blue66
223926.7
466510.0
46268.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions912605010015012866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.22.5
54.356.8
Auto0.9
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 36.5
2239
#10
26.72.4
17.820.2
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
2531
#32
21.32.5
17.920.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 11.3
4665
#53
10.02.4
11.614.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
2491
#40
16.22.5
11.514.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 7.6
4626
#54
8.62.4
7.610.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0