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Red38
527515.2
265417.9
468715.2
Blue43
301820.1
247222.4
313411.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454410203040506070803843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2654
#25
17.90.5
18.417.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 4.5
2472
#14
22.40.2
21.020.8
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
4687
#20
15.20.5
9.38.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
3018
#27
20.10.4
18.317.9
Auto1.5
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
5275
#30
15.20.5
16.415.9
Auto1.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 4.0
3134
#37
11.20.4
8.58.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0