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Red70
327513.7
217530.1
56377.9
Blue44
214310.5
305529.8
329318.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415301001502002503007044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.3
28.830.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
3055
#16
29.80.4
27.226.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
3275
#43
13.72.1
9.111.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3293
#22
18.90.7
16.415.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
5637
#41
7.92.1
6.38.5
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2143
#42
10.50.7
9.28.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0