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Red32
245017.0
309023.9
21777.8
Blue2
320617.0
38487.8
46323.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42330206080100322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3090
#12
23.90.9
13.712.9
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
3206
#35
17.01.7
18.316.6
Auto0.6
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
2450
#23
17.00.9
21.620.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 9.3
3848
#46
7.82.8
11.58.7
Auto0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
2177
#57
7.80.5
6.96.4
Auto0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
4632
#60
3.02.8
5.62.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.2
End0.0