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Red70
96739.0
361020.4
529711.7
Blue30
527515.2
22258.7
249116.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6734020801001201401607030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#4
39.00.9
37.238.1
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 22.8
2491
#40
16.20.5
15.314.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Second
3610
#21
20.41.3
17.018.3
Auto0.8
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 5.2
5275
#30
15.20.7
14.513.8
Auto1.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5297
#39
11.71.3
9.911.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
2225
#51
8.70.7
10.39.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.9
End0.0