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Red39
46323.0
329318.9
304219.7
Blue12
466510.0
254911.5
369913.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354601001502002503003912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#15
19.70.0
19.319.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 6.2
3699
#31
13.52.4
14.612.2
Auto0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Second
3293
#22
18.90.1
17.017.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
2549
#28
11.52.4
18.816.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
4632
#60
3.00.1
1.92.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.2
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4665
#53
10.02.4
12.410.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0