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Red28
304219.7
529711.7
38487.8
Blue32
46638.4
369117.6
468715.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354301001502002502832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#15
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
3691
#24
17.60.8
18.517.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
5297
#39
11.70.6
11.211.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4687
#20
15.20.8
16.015.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
3848
#46
7.80.6
7.27.8
Auto0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4663
#55
8.40.8
9.28.4
Auto1.2
Teleop7.3
End0.0