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Red54
220720.9
427710.5
392833.2
Blue5
305529.8
552212.5
30237.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6852020406080100120140160545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.7
34.433.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 3.4
3055
#16
29.82.3
30.728.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
20.91.0
22.521.5
Auto0.8
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
5522
#26
12.53.1
15.612.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
4277
#47
10.51.0
11.510.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
3023
#58
7.53.1
10.67.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0