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Red38
21777.8
329318.9
313411.2
Blue40
477823.0
38718.8
46268.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344001001502002503003840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#22
18.90.1
17.017.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4778
#17
23.00.0
23.123.1
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
3134
#37
11.20.1
11.111.2
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
3871
#38
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
2177
#57
7.80.1
7.77.8
Auto0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4626
#54
8.60.0
8.78.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0