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Red114
96739.0
557635.4
253121.3
Blue63
562616.7
309023.9
247222.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9950015020011463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#4
39.00.3
38.739.0
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 15.1
3090
#12
23.90.3
22.622.9
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
35.40.4
35.035.4
Auto0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 13.0
2472
#14
22.40.3
21.321.5
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
2531
#32
21.30.3
21.021.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
5626
#18
16.70.3
15.415.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0