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Red56
392833.2
388334.5
533920.6
Blue101
305529.8
223926.7
329318.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9164020408010012014016056101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.6
35.034.4
Auto0.0
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 4.7
3055
#16
29.80.5
28.428.9
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
33.20.6
33.733.1
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
2239
#10
26.70.6
25.025.6
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
5339
#19
20.60.7
21.220.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
3293
#22
18.90.6
17.217.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0