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Red130
313063.2
282686.6
249116.2
Blue89
305529.8
223926.7
329318.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17351010015020025030035013089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.60.5
84.684.1
Auto16.3
Teleop70.3
End0.0
red by 56.8
3055
#16
29.80.3
28.929.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
63.20.5
61.260.7
Auto0.9
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 36.5
2239
#10
26.70.3
25.726.0
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
2491
#40
16.20.5
14.213.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3293
#22
18.90.3
17.918.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0