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Red187
250248.8
52572.6
318414.0
Blue88
284623.1
298724.5
247027.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12459010015020025018788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
72.61.1
66.868.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 45.4
2470
#23
27.20.4
26.326.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
48.81.1
43.044.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 24.3
2987
#12
24.50.5
23.223.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
3184
#60
14.01.1
8.29.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 9.1
2846
#17
23.10.4
22.222.6
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0