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Red124
250931.5
218132.2
305819.7
Blue119
453620.1
205247.5
419824.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768502004006008001,0001,200124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.0
31.132.0
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 15.2
47.50.5
46.046.6
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
31.50.7
30.631.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 7.2
4198
#16
24.20.7
22.323.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
3058
#29
19.71.0
18.519.5
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4536
#32
20.10.7
18.218.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0