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Red47
329933.0
300741.9
499314.2
Blue112
543416.5
331329.9
249819.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9847015020025047112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.0
43.242.2
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 12.0
3313
#11
29.91.2
26.727.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
33.01.0
34.433.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 13.5
2498
#24
19.51.2
16.417.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
4993
#31
14.21.0
15.614.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5434
#38
16.51.2
13.815.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0