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Red163
250248.8
52572.6
318414.0
Blue126
453620.1
205247.5
419824.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12972050100150200250300163126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
72.60.6
69.269.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 25.2
47.50.7
45.346.0
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
48.80.6
45.446.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 24.6
4198
#16
24.20.9
21.422.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
3184
#60
14.00.6
10.611.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4536
#32
20.10.9
17.218.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0