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Red20
251321.6
422511.7
31008.4
Blue48
551612.5
205247.5
330014.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255701001502048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2513
#15
21.60.9
11.810.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 25.8
47.50.4
35.034.6
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
4225
#53
11.70.9
8.77.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3300
#33
14.30.5
10.39.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
3100
#57
8.40.9
10.29.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5516
#28
12.50.5
8.68.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0