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Red6
329212.8
383917.5
25157.3
Blue94
250248.8
248012.1
329933.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29550100150200250300694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3839
#18
17.52.4
11.49.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 31.3
48.82.5
25.528.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
3292
#27
12.82.4
16.013.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 20.2
33.03.4
19.322.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
2515
#62
7.32.4
7.04.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 4.9
2480
#36
12.13.4
8.311.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0