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Red14
284623.1
42296.6
308216.3
Blue12
34072.6
305819.7
327813.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452802060801001201401412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#17
23.11.8
21.719.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
3058
#29
19.71.6
9.88.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
3082
#26
16.32.5
10.37.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 3.0
3278
#37
13.31.2
13.011.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4229
#59
6.62.5
11.99.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
3407
#58
2.61.6
8.67.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.8
End0.0