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Red24
324415.4
551516.4
499314.2
Blue131
331329.9
52572.6
249819.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198005010015020024131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#42
16.40.4
8.17.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 56.2
525
#1
72.63.2
48.651.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
Second
3244
#35
15.40.4
12.912.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 14.4
3313
#11
29.94.8
14.819.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
4993
#31
14.20.4
7.97.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 5.3
2498
#24
19.54.8
9.614.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0