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Red58
286114.8
282320.5
308216.3
Blue178
300741.9
43609.8
250248.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2957010015020025058178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#22
20.51.3
16.617.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 28.3
48.86.8
28.034.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
3082
#26
16.32.0
7.89.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 25.6
41.910.3
23.133.3
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Third
2861
#39
14.82.0
10.012.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
4360
#54
9.810.3
3.814.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0