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Red55
363015.0
453620.1
305819.7
Blue61
329933.0
28793.4
543416.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313901001502002503003505561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#32
20.11.8
16.017.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 12.9
33.01.8
22.724.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
3058
#29
19.71.8
8.210.0
Auto0.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
5434
#38
16.51.8
10.612.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
3630
#48
15.01.8
9.110.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 11.6
2879
#56
3.41.8
5.77.5
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0