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Red18
303815.3
25157.3
250016.3
Blue40
16722.6
320223.4
251321.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383702060801840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#30
16.31.1
20.018.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3202
#13
23.40.0
13.413.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
3038
#51
15.31.7
13.211.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 7.3
167
#8
22.60.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
2515
#62
7.31.7
4.73.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 14.4
2513
#15
21.60.0
10.910.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.3
End0.0