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Red0
25389.0
251810.2
254519.4
Blue0
308117.8
329212.8
422511.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4037020608010000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2545
#21
19.42.2
22.220.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
3081
#46
17.81.3
19.718.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
2518
#49
10.21.5
9.48.0
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3292
#27
12.81.9
13.611.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
2538
#45
9.01.5
7.25.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4225
#53
11.71.9
7.85.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0