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Red18
37459.6
302616.2
327813.3
Blue10
251114.2
247027.2
419824.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225501001502001810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#19
16.20.6
9.08.4
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 11.0
2470
#23
27.21.3
23.622.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
3278
#37
13.30.6
11.811.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 11.0
4198
#16
24.22.0
12.810.8
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
3745
#52
9.60.9
7.46.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2511
#43
14.22.0
15.713.7
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0