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Red95
250931.5
551516.4
422511.7
Blue61
282320.5
383917.5
302616.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274101001502002509561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.53.2
17.020.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 11.0
2823
#22
20.51.0
17.918.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
5515
#42
16.45.4
7.713.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3839
#18
17.51.7
13.815.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4225
#53
11.75.4
5.911.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3026
#19
16.21.0
8.49.5
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0